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Liquid Mercury

October 2026

The Quicksilver Report: A Failed Senate Vote, an SEC Exemption, and the Fed's Stablecoin Rules

The Senate rejected cloture on CLARITY by 49-50 on September 15, and two days later the SEC issued a five-year exemption for on-chain trading of tokenized stocks; the Federal Reserve then proposed two GENIUS Act rules, DTCC connected tokenized funds to Fund/SERV, and an independent audit traced 83% of the agent payments it found to two loops.
By Kent EganOctober 1, 2026

Overview

A failed Senate vote was followed within ten days by an SEC order and Fed proposals, and an audit recounted the x402 numbers.

Four developments shaped September. The Senate voted 49-50 on September 15 against ending debate on the motion to proceed to the CLARITY Act, eleven votes short of the 60 required, in a dispute over ethics language covering officials' crypto holdings. Two days later the SEC issued an order giving Tokenized Securities Venues a five-year exemption from the Exchange Act's definition of an exchange, so that tokenized versions of exchange-listed stocks can trade through permissioned automated market makers. On September 24 the Federal Reserve Board proposed two GENIUS Act rules for the stablecoin issuers it supervises, one on reserves and capital and one on bank applications. And Bitquery, a blockchain data provider, published an audit on September 6 that counted 18.3 million x402 payments worth $2.6 billion in August, almost nine tenths of the dollar total sitting in one bridging contract and two loops dominating the payment count.

The SEC order, the Fed proposals, and the OCC's pending rule can each be amended by the agency behind them, and SEC Chair Atkins has said agency measures lack durability without legislation. The dates that matter run from the Senate's October 5 return to the Federal Reserve's comment close in late November.

CLARITY Cloture Vote

49-50

Eleven votes short of the 60 needed to open floor debate on H.R. 3633, with the dispute centered on ethics language.

Market Structure: The Vote Fails and the Agencies Continue

A 49-50 cloture result leaves the Senate with a motion to reconsider on file and about a month of floor time before the midterms.

H.R. 3633 fell short on September 15 when the Senate voted on cloture on the motion to proceed, 49 to 50 against a 60-vote threshold. Paul Hastings' policy tracker records Democrats, independents, and four Republicans voting no, citing ethics, conflicts of interest, consumer protection, and national security, and Senator Thom Tillis entered a motion to reconsider, which FinTech Weekly says keeps the procedural door open. The ethics provision that the prior edition flagged as the unresolved price of Democratic support was again the sticking point: Democrats said the text did not effectively cover the president and his family, and Republican negotiators pointed to more than 100 revisions they said were made at Democrats' request. FinTech Weekly reports that seven Democratic senators, among them Gallego, Gillibrand, and Warner, called the result 'a setback, but not the end,' and points to a lame-duck session after the election as the likelier opening, with the Senate's next session running October 5 to November 6.

SEC Chair Paul Atkins said on September 16 that the Commission would act 'with or without legislation' within its statutory authority, and Bitcoin.com News reports he repeated the commitment on CNBC on September 29. CoinDesk's account of the vote carries Atkins's own qualification that agency measures lack durability without congressional backing, and Bitcoin.com News adds, in its own analysis, that guidance issued without a statute can be reversed by later commissioners. The Commission that would do the reversing is shrinking: Commissioner Hester Peirce leaves on October 2, according to TokenPost, which leaves Atkins and Commissioner Mark Uyeda as the only two active commissioners.

Agency output continued through the month. Regulation Crypto Assets, the SEC's offering proposal, takes comments until October 20; the Division of Corporation Finance published FAQs on September 25 on how the securities laws apply to digital assets, stating that promoting a crypto system's current utility likely is not an essential managerial effort unless its profit potential is also promoted; and the CFTC's September 17 staff letter 26-25 extended its no-action relief for passive software providers to all that qualify.

Senate Session Window

Oct 5 - Nov 6

The remaining floor time before the election, with Tillis's motion to reconsider on file.

GENIUS Act: The Fed Proposes, the OCC Waits at OMB

The Fed put forward its stablecoin rules on September 24 while the comptroller's final text awaits OMB review.

On September 24 the Federal Reserve Board, voting unanimously according to Crowdfund Insider, requested comment on two proposals for the payment stablecoin issuers it supervises. The first requires full backing with permissible reserve assets, including short-term Treasury bills and other high-quality liquid assets, sets standardized capital requirements for credit and operational risk, adds risk-management standards, addresses how reserves are safeguarded, and lists the stablecoin activities a supervised bank may conduct. The second sets a tailored application path for Board-supervised banks, with business plans, financial information, and appeal and hearing procedures. The comment window is 60 days after the notices appear in the Federal Register, so it closes in late November. Governor Michael Barr supported the package but said feedback would matter most on reserve limits and capital design, including whether interest-rate and foreign-currency risks are handled adequately.

The OCC's rule is further along. Paul Hastings' September 8 tracker records that the agency sent its final rule for payment stablecoin issuers to OMB on August 27, with the text unpublished pending review, and, according to PYMNTS, the agency expects to publish by November and to process issuer applications in January. Treasury's section 3 comments close October 19. The OCC's final can surface whenever OMB clears it, Treasury's docket closes in mid-October, and the Fed's stays open until late November, all ahead of January 18, 2027, the latest date on which the Act can take effect.

OCC Final Rule

At OMB

Sent on August 27 with the text unpublished; PYMNTS reports a November publication target and January applications.

Tokenization: Exchange Relief, Fund Rails, and a Flat Asset Total

Listed stocks can now trade on-chain under a temporary SEC order, while a tokenization platform joined the Fund/SERV network.

The SEC's September 17 order grants a Tokenized Securities Venue temporary, conditional relief from the definition of an exchange when it trades tokenized National Market System stock through permissioned automated market makers and liquidity pools, and grants certain liquidity providers a parallel exemption from the definition of a dealer. Skadden's summary sets out the guardrails: Tier 1 names, drawn from the S&P 500 and Russell 1000, are capped at 75 symbols and 0.25% of prior-month average daily volume, and other eligible stocks at 250 symbols and 2.5%; venues must be U.S. persons, follow OFAC sanctions rules, give 30 days' public notice before they begin, and halt tokenized trading whenever the underlying stock halts; smart contracts must be auditable, public, and deployed on permissionless ledgers; and covered liquidity providers trade only for their own accounts and cannot hold customer assets. Tokens must carry the same rights as the underlying stock, a venue listing a token that someone other than the issuer created must give the issuer notice and a chance to object, and, per Paul Hastings, primary issuances are excluded. The SEC is soliciting comment on the order, and the release states no deadline.

Separately from the DTC Tokenization Service due in October, DTCC's other businesses moved on tokenization. On September 16, Oasis Pro Markets, an Ondo Finance subsidiary, became the first tokenization platform to join Fund/SERV, the network that processes more than 85% of U.S. mutual fund transaction activity, which, per DTCC's release, lets tokenized funds reach distributors already connected to it without custom integrations. On September 28 DTCC announced a strategic investment in iCapital, which services $1.2 trillion in assets, $327 billion of it in alternatives; the release does not give the size of the investment. Talia Klein, DTCC's head of wealth and investment solutions, will sit as an observer on iCapital's board. The tokenization service itself remains on the October schedule Forkast described on August 30. Two further September items touch collateral and recordkeeping: a CFTC FAQ update on September 24 lets futures commission merchants invest customer funds in tokenized forms of permitted investments when the existing liquidity, concentration, and depository requirements are met, and the SEC's September 1 proposal to rewrite its transfer agent rules, the first substantive overhaul since the late 1970s and early 1980s according to Paul Hastings, addresses blockchain-based recordkeeping and uncertificated securities.

The asset total moved little over seven weeks. RWA.xyz's distributed-asset series, which counts tokens that can move to wallets outside the issuing platform, read $38.45 billion on September 29, according to Coinpedia, up $0.28 billion from the $38.17 billion reading of August 9 that the previous edition cited, which leaves the sector $1.55 billion short of $40 billion. Ethereum holds $16.5 billion of it, BNB Chain $5.7 billion, and Solana $4.3 billion. By category, US Treasury debt stands at $14.7 billion across 99 assets, commodities at $5.0 billion, active strategies at $4.0 billion, and stocks at $3.1 billion across 5,918 tokens. The Treasuries category read $16.21 billion across 87 products in the September edition's data, and the gap may reflect category definitions.

RWA Market Value

$38.45B

Seven weeks after the August 9 reading, the distributed total sits $1.55 billion under the $40 billion mark.

Agents: An Audit Recounts x402

Two payment loops dominate Bitquery's August x402 data, and Base processor fees came to about $59,000.

Bitquery, a blockchain data provider, published its audit on September 6 with figures measured on September 5. It counts 18.3 million x402 payments in August worth $2.6 billion across Base, Polygon, Arbitrum, Ethereum, and Optimism, and observes that the two numbers point at very different places. Base carried 53.1% of payments but 1.4% of dollars; almost nine tenths of the dollar total is a single cross-chain bridging contract on Arbitrum. Bitquery says seven tenths of the payments are agents and that the agent classification is an inference from on-chain records. It attributes 83% of every agent payment it found, across a dataset that reaches back 58 days on Base, to two loops: one Base wallet sent 13.2 million payments to a single address over 52 days, and Polygon's 5.7 million one-cent payments cycled among a few hundred payers and a few dozen receivers. The one processor charging fees on Base collected $59,295 in August across 26 merchants, and of the 80,642 sellers paid in July, fewer than six in a hundred took any payment in August, while about 1,300 sellers with 10 or more payments in July were mostly still trading a month later.

The September edition reported 14 million x402 transfers in 30 days from Coinbase's mid-August data. Bitquery's count covers a different window and method, so the two belong to separate series. What the audit adds is composition: a handful of payer and payee pairs account for most of what it found, and the fee-paying merchant base is small.

Base Processor Fees

$59,295

Collected in August by the one fee-charging processor Bitquery found on Base, across 26 merchants.

Infrastructure Implications

Dates from October 5 to late November frame the comment and integration work.

The Senate reconvenes October 5; Treasury's section 3 docket closes October 19 and the SEC's offering-regime docket the next day; DTCC's tokenization service is due in October; the OCC's final rule can appear whenever OMB releases it; and the Fed's two dockets stay open until late November, ahead of the January 18, 2027 effective date. On our read, issuer diligence stays provisional until the OCC text is public.

Compliance files that rely on the SEC's order, the CFTC's letters, or the Fed's proposals should name the instrument and its amendment terms, so a change shows up as a tracked event. The symbol and volume ceilings in the tokenized stock exemption likely limit how much on-chain depth any one name can show under the order. Fund distribution and customer-fund investment are the two workflow areas where September's actions reach tokenized assets, and DTCC's October launch is the next live test. For agent payments, the audit's concentration findings argue for sizing screening on counterparties and settled value.

Conclusion

Comment deadlines, a Senate return, and DTCC's launch give October its dated checkpoints.

September left the legislative question pending on a short calendar, and the agencies supplied most of the month's new text. The next dated checkpoints are the Treasury and SEC comment deadlines on October 19 and 20, the DTC Tokenization Service launch in October, and the Federal Reserve's docket in late November; the SEC's release on the tokenized stock exemption states no comment deadline.

Frequently Asked Questions

What happened in the Senate's CLARITY Act vote on September 15?
The Senate voted 49 to 50 on cloture on the motion to proceed to H.R. 3633, short of the 60 votes needed to begin floor debate. Democrats, independents, and four Republicans opposed it, and the dispute centered on ethics language covering officials' crypto holdings; Democrats said it fell short on the president and his family, while Republicans cited more than 100 revisions. Afterward, Senator Tillis moved to reconsider.
Can CLARITY still pass this year?
Possible, with low odds. FinTech Weekly reports that prediction markets price passage this year in the single digits, that Tillis's motion to reconsider keeps the procedural door open, and that the Senate sits October 5 to November 6 with the campaign underway, leaving the post-election lame-duck session as the more realistic window. SEC Chair Atkins has said the Commission will act without legislation.
What does the SEC's tokenized stock innovation exemption allow?
Issued September 17 for five years, it lets a Tokenized Securities Venue trade tokenized National Market System stock using permissioned automated market makers and liquidity pools without registering as an exchange, and lets certain liquidity providers operate without dealer registration. Conditions include symbol and volume caps, 30 days' public notice, trading halts that mirror the underlying stock, auditable smart contracts on permissionless ledgers, and issuer objection rights where a third party creates the token. Primary issuances are excluded.
What did the Federal Reserve propose under the GENIUS Act, and how does it fit with the OCC and Treasury?
On September 24 the Board proposed a reserve, capital, risk-management, and custody framework for the stablecoin issuers it supervises, plus an application process for Board-supervised banks, with comments accepted for 60 days after Federal Register notice. The OCC sent its final rule to OMB on August 27, with a November publication reported as the target, while Treasury's licensing proposal takes comments through October 19. The statute's effective-date ceiling remains January 18, 2027.
What changed at DTCC in September, and where does the October launch stand?
Two announcements came from other DTCC businesses. Oasis Pro Markets, an Ondo Finance subsidiary, joined Fund/SERV, the mutual fund order network, on September 16 as the first tokenization platform member, and DTCC announced a strategic investment in iCapital on September 28. Forkast's August 30 review remains the schedule source for the October launch of the tokenization service itself.
Why do Bitquery's x402 figures differ from the 14 million transfers in the September edition?
They come from different counters. The earlier figure was Coinbase's trailing 30-day transfer count from mid-August, while Bitquery audited August payments on five chains, measured on September 5, and found 83% of the agent payments in its dataset concentrated in two loops.
Where can I find prior editions of The Quicksilver Report?
The September 2026 edition is available at liquidmercury.com/research/the-quicksilver-report-september-2026, with the full archive at liquidmercury.com/research.

Reference Data

Reference Data
MetricValueWhy it matters
CLARITY cloture vote49-50, Sept 15The motion to proceed on H.R. 3633 needed 60; Tillis's reconsideration motion is on file, and the next Senate session runs October 5 to November 6.
SEC innovation exemptionIssued Sept 17, 2026Tokenized Securities Venues may trade tokenized NMS stock through permissioned automated market makers; the relief expires after five years.
Exemption symbol and volume caps75 and 250 symbolsTier 1 venues are held to 0.25% and the broader tier to 2.5% of a stock's prior-month average daily volume, after 30 days' public notice.
Atkins statementSept 16, 2026The SEC chair's public commitment to act without a statute, repeated in a September 29 CNBC interview.
Treasury GENIUS commentsClose Oct 19, 2026Covers issuer licensing and limits on offshore access; the SEC's offering-regime docket closes the next day.
Fed GENIUS proposalsTwo, Sept 24, 2026One covers reserves, capital, and custody; the other sets a bank application path for Board-supervised banks.
Fund/SERV membershipOasis Pro joins, Sept 16An Ondo Finance subsidiary is the first tokenization platform admitted to the fund-order network.
DTCC investment in iCapitalAnnounced Sept 28iCapital services $1.2 trillion, $327 billion of it alternatives; investment size undisclosed; DTCC's Talia Klein joins as board observer.
RWA distributed value$38.45B, Sept 29Ethereum holds $16.5B (42.74%); US Treasury debt is $14.7B across 99 assets and stocks $3.1B.
x402 August payments18.3M worth $2.6BBase carried 53.1% of the payments and 1.4% of the dollars; two loops hold 83% of agent payments in the dataset.

Sources

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Failed CLARITY Vote & SEC Exemption | October 2026 Report